AI-Driven Algo Trading Workflow (Predictive + Reinforcement Learning)
An AI workflow for real-time market prediction, strategy execution, and automated trading decisions using ML and RL.
🎯 Project Overview
Developed an AI-based algorithmic trading workflow with ML prediction and RL optimization. The system includes real-time data ingestion, signal generation, automated execution, and continuous retraining. Complete with risk filters and backtesting system for strategy validation.
💼 Business Impact
- 15-35% improvement in average strategy performance
- Zero emotional bias - automated execution eliminates human emotions
- 24/7 trading without manual intervention
- Risk management prevents catastrophic losses
- Backtesting validation ensures strategies work before live trading
🛠️ Technical Architecture
Workflow Components
1. Data Ingestion
Live market feed integration: candlestick data, Level 2 order book data, technical indicators. Real-time streaming from multiple exchanges and brokers (Zerodha, Fyers, Binance).
2. Feature Engineering
Technical indicators: SMA/EMA, RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, volatility measures, order book depth analysis, volume profile, support/resistance levels.
3. Model Training
ML models for price direction prediction (LSTM, Transformer networks). RL agent (PPO, DQN) for strategy optimization and position sizing. Ensemble methods combining multiple models for robustness.
4. Signal Generation
Buy/Sell/Hold predictions with confidence scores. Entry/exit signals with stop-loss and take-profit levels. Position sizing based on risk parameters and portfolio allocation.
5. Risk Management Layer
Stop-loss (SL) and take-profit (TP) automation. Maximum drawdown limits, volatility filters, position size limits, correlation checks to prevent over-concentration.
6. Execution Engine
Integrates with broker APIs (Zerodha Kite Connect, Fyers API, Binance API, MetaTrader). Order placement, modification, cancellation. Real-time position tracking and P&L monitoring.
7. Backtesting & Monitoring
Historical data backtesting with realistic slippage and commission modeling. Daily model retraining on latest data. Drift detection alerts when model performance degrades.
Core Technologies
- Python - Core trading logic and ML pipeline
- TensorFlow/PyTorch - Deep learning models for prediction
- Scikit-Learn - Traditional ML algorithms and preprocessing
- MetaTrader/Zerodha Kite Connect - Broker API integration
- Airflow - Workflow orchestration and scheduled retraining
- Docker - Containerized deployment for reliability
🔧 Technical Challenges Solved
Challenge 1: Real-Time Data Latency
Problem: Market data arrives with delays, causing stale signals and missed opportunities.
Solution: Implemented low-latency data pipeline with WebSocket connections, local caching, and predictive signal generation that accounts for expected delays.
Challenge 2: Model Overfitting
Problem: Models perform well on historical data but fail in live trading.
Solution: Walk-forward optimization, out-of-sample testing, regularization techniques, and ensemble methods that combine multiple models to reduce overfitting risk.
Challenge 3: Risk Management
Problem: Single bad trade can wipe out weeks of profits.
Solution: Multi-layer risk management: position sizing (Kelly Criterion), stop-loss automation, maximum drawdown limits, correlation checks, and daily loss limits.
📊 Performance Metrics
💡 Key Features
- Multi-timeframe analysis: Signals from 1-minute to daily charts
- Multi-asset support: Stocks, futures, options, crypto
- Portfolio optimization: Risk-adjusted position sizing across multiple positions
- Backtesting engine: Test strategies on years of historical data
- Real-time monitoring: Dashboard showing live positions, P&L, signals
🚀 Results
- ✅ 15-35% improvement in average strategy performance vs manual trading
- ✅ Zero emotional decisions - all trades based on data and rules
- ✅ 24/7 operation without manual intervention
- ✅ Risk-controlled - maximum drawdown limits prevent catastrophic losses
- ✅ Scalable - handles multiple strategies and assets simultaneously